F&M Poll: Clinton Up by 7%

Franklin & Marshall College Poll

The 25th year of consecutive polling in Pennsylvania http://www.fandm.edu/fandmpoll

• Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 47% to 40% among likely voters, down from the 49% to 38% lead she held immediately after the Democratic convention.

• About equal proportions of registered Democrats support Secretary Clinton (75%) compared to registered Republicans who support Mr. Trump (73%)

• Mr. Trump holds a sizable advantage among whites with a high school degree or less (52% to 35%), but Secretary Clinton has a similar advantage among college-educated whites (50% to 29%). Mr. Trump also has an advantage among white men (41% to 38%), but his advantage is smaller than Secretary Clinton’s lead among white women (45% to 38%)

• Secretary Clinton is viewed favorably by 38% of registered voters (47% in July) and is viewed unfavorably by 54% (49% in July), giving her a net favorable of minus 16 which is a significant decline from her minus 2 net favorable rating after the Democratic convention. Mr. Trump is viewed favorably by 37% of registered voters (33% in July) and is viewed unfavorably by 58% (62% in July), giving him a net favorable rating of minus 21.

• Democrat Katie McGinty has a five-point lead over Republican Senator Pat Toomey 43% to 38% among likely voters; the race is essentially tied among registered voters, 36% to 37%

This survey reflects interviews with 736 Pennsylvania registered voters, including 358 Democratic, 286 Republican and 92 Independents conducted by the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College from August 25-29, 2016. The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.6 percentage points. The sampling error for 496 likely voters is +/- 5.6. A complete methodological statement can be found in the complete report.

The Franklin & Marshall College Poll is produced in conjunction with the Philadelphia Daily News, WGAL-TV (South Central PA), Pittsburgh Tribune Review, WTAE-TV (Pittsburgh), WPVI-TV6/ABC (Philadelphia), Times-Shamrock Newspapers, Harrisburg Patriot-News/PennLive, LNP media group, and the Reading Eagle. It may be used in whole or in part, provided any use is attributed to the college.

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