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Keith Naughton


    Fri, November 11, 2016

    Pollsters Were (Sort of) Right


    Did the 2016 Presidential election result mean the humiliation and death of polling? Not by a longshot. The fact is many of the polls were right — it's the people who got it wrong. The ...

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    Wed, October 05, 2016

    The Polls Don't Agree - And Never Will


    Trump rising, Trump falling. Clinton up, Clinton down. The mass of conflicting polls can be maddening and provokes the question: Why can't the pollsters agree?

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    Wed, September 21, 2016

    Hollywood Still Doesn't Understand Politics


    Courtney B. Vance is a fine actor and deserving of his Emmy, and apparently he likes Hillary Clinton. But I don't really think a wealthy actor with a drama degree has much to add to the political ...

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    Tue, September 13, 2016

    Personality Cult v. No Personality


    All Presidential campaigns have some personality cult to them — support from ultra-loyalists for whom the candidate can do no wrong. Not only is the super-loyal personality cult important in ...

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    Wed, August 24, 2016

    Third Party Flop


    With Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton unable to get more Americans to like than dislike them, it would seem that the time would be ripe for candidates outside the two-party system to gain some real ...

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    Wed, August 10, 2016

    Trump is Running Out of Daylight


    Is bipolar disorder a requirement for covering an American Presidential campaign? Possibly. It seems that every gyration in the polls results in a mania of stories hyperventilating about the end of ...

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    Tue, August 02, 2016

    Great Race to the Bottom


    Normally a Presidential candidate viewed unfavorably by 60% of voters would not stand a chance. But Donald Trump gets to run against Hillary Clinton and her own mind-numbing unpopularity. The 2016 ...

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    Mon, July 11, 2016

    EPA Twists Rules Into a Pretzel


    Good news! The bureaucrats at the EPA can predict the weather for years to come! How do we know this? In a recent rule regulating methane emissions by the natural gas industry the EPA claims the ...

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    Thu, July 07, 2016

    Trump's Brexit Blunder


    Is Donald Trump smart or just lucky? Trump was in the United Kingdom when British voters opted to leave the European Union, prompting the ever-opportunistic Trump to do a victory lap. Trump's ...

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    Tue, June 14, 2016

    Brexit?


    Will they or won't they? On June 23rd, British voters will decide whether to stay in the European Union or exit. Regardless of the outcome, it is time for the EU to face the uncomfortable facts that ...

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    Fri, May 06, 2016

    Trump Win Conventional, Not Ground-breaking


    It is always fashionable in the light of an unexpected event to declare that the world will be changed forever. And that's the latest fashion when it comes to Donald Trump. However, what is ...

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    Thu, April 14, 2016

    Trump Loses Fear Factor


    In the aftermath of Ted Cruz 97% routing Donald Trump at the Colorado GOP meeting, Trump and his allies have loudly protested how Trump was cheated out of his rightful share of delegates. ...

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    Thu, March 17, 2016

    Trump Towers Over Divided Opposition


    November 1976: As the last votes trickle in from Ohio, Gerald Ford defeats Jimmy Carter in a nail-biter. His upset victory is remarkable considering the unpopularity of the Nixon pardon and the ...

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    Wed, March 09, 2016

    The Clay Feet of Donald Trump


    Donald Trump continues to win Republican primaries, tightening his grip on the word "inevitable." The problem is that a detailed examination of the actual results shows Trump to be the ...

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    Wed, March 02, 2016

    The Supreme Court Game


    President Obama cannot be happy about the Supreme Court. Not because of Republican opposition to his TBD candidate for the spot vacated by Justice Scalia. No, his irritation must be with the ...

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    Mon, February 22, 2016

    America's Incoherent Sanctions Policy


    fter decades under a brutal military dictatorship, Myanmar is steadily, if unevenly, moving towards legitimate democracy. Reasonably fair elections have been held, military interference is lessening ...

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    Fri, January 22, 2016

    Wasting Tax Dollars on Self-Driving Cars


    The self-driving car could be one of the great innovations of the 21st Century — among the potential benefits are increased safety, energy efficiency and convenience. Major tech companies and ...

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    Fri, December 04, 2015

    Is Venezuela the Next Foreign Policy Crisis?


    As if ISIS, Putin and Iran were not enough, another foreign policy crisis has been brewing for years and may be about to boil over. On Sunday Venezuelans are headed to the polls and given the ...

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    Mon, November 23, 2015

    President Obama's Propaganda Problem


    After nearly seven years on the job one of the most remarkable things about Barack Obama is his inability to get better at being President. The fact is that Obama has shown no understanding of how ...

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    Thu, July 30, 2015

    Does Yoko Ono Cause Heart Attacks?


    How do man-made changes to the environment affect human health? That's not an easy question to answer. There are so many complicating factors, not to mention that the human body is a rather complex ...

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    Wed, July 22, 2015

    GOP Needs a JV Debate


    (This article first appeared in the Daily Caller.)

    It seems that the list of Republicans not running for president is shorter than the list of actual candidates. ...

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    Tue, July 07, 2015

    Embassy or Not, Cuba Will Remain in Misery


    (This article originally appeared in the Daily Caller.)

    Just this past week President Obama announced that the American embassy would be re-opened, part of ...

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    Mon, June 22, 2015

    Time for a Greek Exit


    Beware of Greeks bearing threats. Like a slow-motion collision, Greece and the European Union are headed for a reckoning with both sides engaged in kabuki rather than real negotiation. The strategy ...

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    Tue, June 16, 2015

    Where is the Growth?


    Pennsylvania is facing a large budget deficit, a growing multi-billion dollar pension gap, and weak job growth. The state's fiscal condition is so severe in both the near and long term that Governor ...

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    Tue, June 09, 2015

    Fake Research: A Bigger Problem Than You Think


    Over the past few weeks a furor has gripped the world of political science. A landmark study that claimed individual voters would be more accepting of gay marriage if they had personal interaction ...

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    Wed, May 13, 2015

    False Promise of Defined Benefits Pension


    The defined-benefit pension bomb is starting to explode. Detroit, Rhode Island, San Bernardino, California — are all cities where pensioners have lost or are likely to lose significantly. ...

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    Mon, May 11, 2015

    Survey Says: We're Flying Through a Fog


    The pollsters got it wrong — again. The latest spectacular failure is not anticipating the Conservative Party's triumph in Great Britain. The public should get used to it, because inaccurate ...

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