Clinton, Trump Lead in PA Poll

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The 25th consecutive year of polling in Pennsylvania

Below are the highlights of the February 2016, Franklin & Marshall College Poll of registered Pennsylvania voters. Complete results can be found at

• Two in three (67%) registered voters believe the state is "on the wrong track," up from 62% in October, and nearly half (47%) say that government and politicians are the biggest problems facing the state.

• The presidential primary race in Pennsylvania shows some stability for the Democrats, with Hillary Clinton holding a sizable lead over Bernie Sanders, 48% to 27%, which is comparable to the lead she held in January.

• Pennsylvanians’ preferences in the Republican presidential race continue to change. Donald Trump (22%) leads, as he has since October, but the order of preference for his challengers continues shuffling. Marco Rubio (16%), John Kasich (15%), and Ted Cruz (12%) are all in a close contest for second.

• Registered Republicans do not express positive feelings about all of their candidates. Nearly as many registered Republicans in the state have an unfavorable (42%) opinion of Donald Trump as feel favorably toward him (45%).

• One in three (31%) registered Pennsylvania voters believes Governor Wolf is doing an "excellent" or "good" job as governor, which is a decrease from the October (36%) and August (39%) polls.

• Two in five (42%) Pennsylvania voters believe President Obama is doing an "excellent" or "good" job as President, which is about the same as in recent surveys.

• Three in five (58%) voters believe attorney general Kathleen Kane should resign, which is an increase from the October (51%) and August (46%) polls.

This survey reflects interviews with 985 Pennsylvania registered voters conducted by the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College from February 13-21, 2016 (sample error of +/-3.1 % percentage points).

The Franklin & Marshall College Poll is produced in conjunction with the Philadelphia Daily News, WGAL-TV (South Central PA), Pittsburgh Tribune Review, WTAE-TV (Pittsburgh), WPVI-TV6/ABC (Philadelphia), Times-Shamrock Newspapers, Harrisburg Patriot-News/PennLive, LNP media group, and the Reading Eagle. It may be used in whole or in part, provided any use is attributed to the college.

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