Poll: Wolf Dominates Democrat Governor Race

Franklin & Marshall College Poll

The 23rd year of consecutive polling in Pennsylvania

Below are the highlights of the May 2014, Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvania Democratic voters. Complete results can be found at http://politics.fandm.edu.

• Tom Wolf (37%) continues to lead the Democratic gubernatorial primary over Allyson Schwartz (20%), Rob McCord (12%), and Katie McGinty (3%) among likely voters. One-quarter (27%) are undecided. If voters who lean toward a candidate are included in the results, Wolf maintains a similar lead over Schwartz, 43% to 26%, with 11% undecided. Wolf leads Schwartz 33% to 14% among all registered Democrats.

• Seven in ten (72%) Democratic voters think the state is moving is on the wrong track while only one in five (20%) believes it is moving in the right direction.

• More than eight in ten (83%) registered Democrats have seen a television commercial for the candidates for governor. Of those who have seen a commercial, 93% have seen a Wolf commercial, 67% have seen a McCord commercial, 61% have seen a Schwartz commercial and 44% have seen a McGinty commercial.

• Education (29%) remains the top issue for Democratic voters when they consider what candidate to support in the primary, followed by the economy/job market (17%).

This survey reflects interviews with 530 Pennsylvania registered Democratic voters conducted by the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College from May 6-12, 2014 (sample error of +/- 4.3 percentage points).

The Franklin & Marshall College Poll is produced in conjunction with the Philadelphia Daily News, WGAL-TV (South Central PA), Pittsburgh Tribune Review, WTAE-TV (Pittsburgh), WPVI-TV6/ABC (Philadelphia), Times-Shamrock Newspapers, Harrisburg Patriot-News/PennLive, Lancaster Newspapers/Lancasteronline, and the Reading Eagle. It may be used in whole or in part, provided any use is attributed to Franklin & Marshall College.

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